NAFTA and U.S. Business
Many analysts warn that those who were impressed by the growth of the U.S. economy and its manufacturing sector during the 1990's when both boomed even as trade deficits rose and believe that the dollar's role as anchor of the world economy will allow deficits to climb even higher should consider America's trade performance, especially with the rising import penetration rates, resulting in the decline of domestic market shares (Outside 2002).
Trade deficits are the result of living beyond national means, and Americans have of late become so ambivalent about their own high indebtedness that "it's no surprise to see ambivalence about the nation's red ink" (Outside 2002). However, market share is less controversial, for unlike borrowing heavily, which can and often does lead to economic success if the borrowed money is used wisely, losing market share has no present or potential upside (Outside 2002). "Companies losing market share to competitors are never regarded favorably. Their stock prices never go up for long. Their futures are never rosy. In fact, they may not be long for this world. The same goes for a nation's industries" (Outside 2002).
Not only do U.S. government statistics on market share do not get as much attention as trade deficit numbers, they are not even kept as such (Outside 2002). Market share figures must be derived from Commerce Department data on industry shipments and on imports, however, the former are not "nearly as up-to-date as the latter, which themselves are always three months behind" (Outside 2002).
Although the market share figures through 200 can be calculated, the picture is devastating (Outside 2002). From 1997 to 2000, not one single American industries gained domestic market share from foreign competitors, and most industries "lost big time," for example the U.S. auto industry, "which lobbied hard for 1990's trade agreements...
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